Former Vice President Joe Biden has opened up a 13-point lead over President Trump in the latest Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) tracking poll released on Friday.
The poll shows the presumptive Democratic nominee garnering about 51 percent of the vote in the general election, while Trump trails with 38 percent. Among those who preferred Biden, 37 percent said they would “definitely” vote for him in November, while another 14 percent said that they “probably” would.
For Trump, 30 percent of respondents said they would “definitely” cast their ballot for him in the general election, while about 8 percent said they “probably” would.
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WNU Editor: Regular readers of this blog know that I follow polls closely. I always look at the methodology that is used in making a poll, and from there I try to determine if the poll makes any sense. It is through this analysis that I noticed four years ago that the polls that were being published were using samples that tilted Democrat by about 10%. The result were totally inaccurate polls like this one …. Clinton Opens 12-Point Lead on Trump as Two-Thirds See Him as Biased (POLL) (ABC News). And the polls of today are still doing the same mistake, as I pointed out in this CNN poll …. Is President Trump’s Approval At 38%? (June 8, 2020). But in the past week I have noticed something new. Most pollsters are no longer giving information on the sample that they used in making their polls. If that is not a red flag, I do not know what is.
Update: They are only fooling themselves …. Shut Up About 2016 and Trust the (Good) Polls (Vice).